A new poll released by civilbeat.com shows commanding leads in both the governor and lieutenant governor primary races. State Senator David Ige has 51 percent of the vote compared to Governor Neil Abercrombie's 41. KITV4's Election analyst Neal Milner says it's quite unusual to see an incumbent governor this far down in the polls this late in the game to a challenger from his own party.
“Usually the candidate running against the incumbent will have something else going for him than the extreme unpopularity of the governor but in this case it seems to be the unpopularity of the governor,” says Milner.
The poll shows that 55 percent of respondents say they are voting against Abercrombie as opposed to 45 percent for Ige.
In the lieutenant governor's race poll, incumbent Lt. Gov. Shan Tsutsui is leading his opponent state Sen.Clayton Hee by 10 percentage points. Twenty percent are undecided. Political analysts believe the traditional incumbency advantage is the reason for the lead.
The poll was based on the views of 895 registered voters and was conducted between July 24-28.